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The Big Payback || UFC 268 bets

UFC bets

The Big Payback UFC 267

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media Patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC 268  went up earlier this week. Thomas Matera is a former WWE Superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.


The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We’ll keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person.

Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last time, Ryan picked Glover Teixeira, who won, and he’s now 18–16 on the year with a $101.83 loss on the best bets. I picked Li Jingliang, who lost, so my best bets are now 10–22 with a loss of $1,200.56.

UFC 267 results

Ryan’s picks went 4–1 for a profit of $346.59. It was his fourteenth win of the year as compared to sixteen for Promise and seven for me.

My picks were 2–3 with a loss of $198.41. It was my fifth losing week out of the last six.

Promise went 2–3 with a loss of $243.33. It was his third losing week in the last four.

Year-to-date results
Ryan’s picks are 93–81 on the year for a profit of $297.37.

My picks are 74–100 with a loss of $1,900.86.

Promise’s picks are 93–80 with a profit of $156.35.

Overall, our combined loss is $1,447.14

UFC 268 picks

Odds are from betMGM.com as of 11:30 a.m. ET on November 6 for Paul and Tom and Friday at 1:00 a.m. CT for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds, although in this case, they hadn’t changed.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Rose Namajunas at +100 to win $100
  • Frankie Edgar at +125 to win $125
  • Al Iaquinta at +150 to win $150
  • Edmen Shahbazyan at +105 to win $105
  • Chris Barnett at +110 to win $110

Paul’s picks:

  • Rose Namajunas at +100 to win $100
  • Frankie Edgar at +125 to win $125
  • Al Iaquinta at +150 to win $150
  • Chris Barnett at +110 to win $110
  • Justin Gaethje at -225 to win $44.44

Thomas’ picks:

  • Kamaru Usman at -300 to win $33.33
  • Rose Namajunas at +100 to win $100
  • Marlon Vera at -150 to win $66.67
  • Justin Gaethje at -225 to win $44.44
  • Shane Burgos at -200 to win $50
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