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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN+ 53 Bets

UFC bets

The Big Payback UFC 267

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media Patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN+ 53 went up earlier this week.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.

The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We’ll keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person.

Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last time, Ryan picked McKenzie Dern, who lost, and he’s now 15-16 on the year with a $466.95 loss on the best bets. I picked Jamie Pickett, whose fight was cancelled, so my best bets are still 10–19 with a loss of $900.56.

UFC on ESPN+ 52 results

Ryan’s picks went 4-1 with a loss of $198.51. He won the week for the twelfth time this year as opposed to 15 for Promise and seven for me.

My picks were 1–4 for a loss of $245. It was my third straight losing week after three profitable ones.

Promise went 2-3 with a loss of $207.37. This was his fourth losing week in the last five.

Year-to-date results
Ryan’s picks are 85-74 on the year for a profit of $88.73.

My picks are 68-91 with a loss of $1,734.67.

Promise’s picks are 83-75 with a profit of $177.37.

Overall, our combined loss is $1468.57

UFC on ESPN+ 52

Odds are from betMGM.com as of 2:00 p.m. ET on October 16 for Paul and Tom and Friday at 12:00 a.m. CT for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Aspen Ladd at -150 to win $66.67
  • Erick Gonzales at +185 to win $185
  • Bruno Silva at -155 to win $64.52
  • Danny Roberts at +260 to win $260
  • Brandon Davis at +145 to win $145

Paul’s picks:

  • Aspen Ladd at -135 to win $74.07
  • Erick Gonzales at +210 to win $210
  • Nate Landwehr at +300 to win $300
  • Istela Nunes at +115 to win $115
  • Lupita Godinez at -225 to win $44.44

Thomas’ picks:

  • Aspen Ladd at -135 to win $74.07
  • Carlos Felipe at -110 to win $90.91
  • Jim Miller at -275 to win $36.36
  • Manon Fiorot at -275 to win $36.36
  • Bruno Silva at -155 to win $64.52
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