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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN+ 52 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media Patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN+ 52 went up earlier this week.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.


The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We’ll keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person.

Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last time, Ryan picked Johnny Walker, who lost, and he’s now 15-15 on the year with a $366.95 loss on the best bets. I picked Misha Cirkunov, who also lost, so my best bets are now 10–19 with a loss of $900.56.

UFC on ESPN+ 51 results

Ryan’s picks went 1-4 with a loss of $339.39. It was his third straight losing week.

My picks were 1–3 for a loss of $255.56. I had also picked Kyle Daukaus, whose fight went to a no contest. It was my second straight losing week after three profitable ones.

Promise went 3-0 with a profit of $183.48. One of the fights he picked was cancelled and he picked Kevin Holland in the fight against Daukaus. It was the 15th win on the year for Promise as opposed to eleven for Ryan and seven for me.

Year-to-date results
Ryan’s picks are 81–73 on the year for a loss of $109.77.

My picks are 67–87 with a loss of $1,489.67.

Promise’s picks are 81–72 with a profit of $384.74.

Overall, our combined loss is $1214.70

UFC on ESPN+ 51

Odds are from betMGM.com as of 1:00 p.m. ET on October 9 for Paul and Tom and Thursday at 11:30 p.m. CT for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Mackenzie Dern at -165 to win $60.61
  • Matheus Nicolau at -200 to win $50
  • Mariya Agipova at +155 to win $155
  • Chris Gutierrez at -275 to win $36.36
  • Damon Jackson at -175 to win $57.14

Paul’s picks:

  • Mariya Agipova at +155 to win $155
  • Felipe Colares at +200 to win $200
  • Jared Vanderaa at +375 to win $375
  • Mackenzie Dern at -200 to win $200
  • Charles Rosa at +155 to win $155

Thomas’ picks:

  • Mackenzie Dern at -200 to win $50
  • Randy Brown at -250 to win $40
  • Matheus Nicolau at -190 to win $52.63
  • Sabina Mazo at -190 to win $52.63
  • Charles Rosa at +155 to win $155
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