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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN+ 50 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN+ 50 went up earlier this week.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.


The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We’ll keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person.

Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we’ll give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last time, Ryan picked Dalcha Lungiambula, who lost, and he’s now 14-13 on the year with a $211.39 loss on the best bets. I picked Paddy Pimblett, who won, so my best bets are now 10–16 with a loss of $600.56.

UFC on ESPN+ 49 results

Ryan’s picks went 3-2 with a profit of $99.52. It was his seventh winning week of the last eight.

My picks were 5-0 for a profit of $476.47. I won the week for the sixth time this year as compared to 10 for Ryan and 14 for Promise.

Promise went 1-4 with a loss of $335.48. It was the fourth losing week of the last five for him.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 76-63 on the year for a profit of $289.54.

My picks are 62-78 with a loss of $939.59.

Promise’s picks are 74-66 with a profit of $637.32.

Overall, our combined loss is $12.73

UFC on ESPN+ 50

Odds are from betMGM.com as of 12 p.m. ET on September 18th for Paul and Tom and Thursday at 11: 30 p.m. CT for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Devin Clark at +125 to win $125
  • Nate Maness at +180 to win $180
  • Tafon Nchukwi at -125 to win $80
  • Pannie Kianzad at +110 to win $110
  • Impa Kasanganay at -120 to win $83.33

Paul’s picks:

  • Tafon Nchukwi at -120 to win $83.33
  • Pannie Kianzad at +100 to win $100
  • Hannah Goldy at +105 to win $105
  • Joaquin Buckley at -190 to win $52.63
  • JP Buys at +475 to win $475

Thomas’ picks:

  • Anthony Smith at -165 to win $60.61
  • Devin Clark at +130 to win $130
  • Mandy Bohm at +100 to win $100
  • Tony Gravely at -225 to win $44.44
  • Joaquin Buckley at -190 to win $52.63

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC 265 went up yesterday.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.

Follow Tom, myself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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