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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN 30 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN 30 went up earlier this week.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.


The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We’ll keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person.

Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we’ll give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last time, Ryan picked Alexandre Pantoja, who won, and he’s now 13–12 on the year with a $171.99 loss on the best bets. I picked Bea Malecki, who lost, so my best bets are now 8–16 with a loss of $719.13.

UFC on ESPN 29 results

Ryan’s picks went 3-2 with a profit of $2.11. It was his 5th winning week of the last six. He had the best week of our group and picked up his 10th win as compared to five for me and 13 for Promise.

My picks were 2-3 for a loss of $77.86. It was my second losing week of the last three.

Promise went 3-2 with a loss of $5.47. It was the 5th losing week of the last six for him.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 70-59 on the year for a profit of $113.06.

My picks are 54-76 with a loss of $1,397.34.

Promise’s picks are 730-60 with a profit of $857.44.

Overall, our combined loss is $426.84

UFC on ESPN 30

Odds are from betMGM.com as of 12:30 p.m. ET on August 28 for Paul and Tom and Thursday August 25 at 11: 30 p.m. CT for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Edson Barboza at -115 to win $86.96
  • Ricky Turcios at -165 to won $60.61
  • Abdul Razak Alhassan at +180 to win $180
  • Sam Alvey at +115 to win $115
  • Mana Martinez at -275 to win $36.36

Paul’s picks:

  • Giga Chikadze at +105 to win $105
  • Bryan Battle at -185 to win $54.05
  • Darren Stewart at +160 to win $160
  • Michael Gillmore at +400 to win $400
  • JJ Aldrick at -450 to win $22.22

Thomas’ picks:

  • Giga Chikadze at +105 to win $105
  • Daniel Rodriguez at +120 to win $120
  • Wellington Turman at -120 to win $83.33
  • Gilbert Urbina at +155 to win $155
  • Brady Hiestand at +130 to win $130

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC 265 went up yesterday.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.

Follow Tom, myself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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