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The Big Payback UFC 267

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN 28 went up yesterday.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.

The rules are simple: We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We’ll keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person.

Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we’ll give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last week, Ryan picked Darren Elkins who won, and he’s now 11–11 on the year with a $197.48 loss on the best bets. I picked Randy Costa, who lost, so my best bets are now 8–13 with a loss of $419.13

UFC on ESPN 27 results

Ryan’s picks went 4–1 with a profit of $355. It was his third straight winning week and fourth of the last five.

My picks were 2–3 for a profit of $30. It was my fourth winning week in the last five.

Promise went 4–1 with a profit of $397.14. It was a good week for all of us but Promise won for the 13th time this year and leads as Ryan has seven and I have five.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 62–54on the year for a loss of $32.53.

My picks are 48–68 with a loss of $1,271.15.

Promise’s picks are 64–52 with a profit of $1,324.89.

Overall, our combined profit is $21.21. We are finally in the black and that now officially makes 19 months of profitable picks since this column started.

UFC on ESPN 28 Bets

Odds are from betMGM.com as of 12:00 p.m. ET on July 30 for Paul and Tom and Friday July 29 at 1:00 a.m. CT for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Kyung Ho Kang at -135 to win 74.07
  • Collin Anglin at +115 to win $115
  • Kai Kamaka at -115 to win $86.96
  • Uriah Hall at +180 to win $180
  • Phil Rowe at +130 to win $130

Paul’s picks:

  • Uriah Hall at +180 to win $180
  • Gloria de Paula at +140 to win $140
  • Jason Witt at +220 to win $220
  • Kai Kamaka at -115 to win $86.96
  • Ashley Yoder at -150 to win $66.67

Thomas’ picks:

  • Sean Strickland at -225 to win $44.44
  • Rani Yahya at +100 to win $100
  • Cheyanne Buys at -165 to win $60.61
  • Ashley Yoder at -150 to win $66.67
  • Niklas Stolze at -200 to win $50

Follow Tom, myself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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