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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN 27 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN 27 went up yesterday.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.


The rules are simple: We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We’ll keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person.

Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we’ll give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last week, Ryan picked Mateusz Gamrot, who won, and he’s now 10-11 on the year with a $327.48 loss on the best bets. I picked Dustin Stolzfus, who lost, so my best bets are now 8-12 with a loss of $319.13

UFC on ESPN 26 results

Ryan’s picks went 4-0 with a profit of $545.91. He also picked Miles Johns, but his fight was cancelled. It was Ryan’s seventh win on the year. Promise leads us all with 12 wins and I have five.

My picks were 2-2 for a profit of $6.67. It was my third winning week in the last four. I also picked Johns.

Promise went 3-2 with a profit of $98.41. I incorrectly reported that he had a loss last week but recorded it correctly.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 58-53 on the year for a loss of $387.43.

My picks are 46-65 with a loss of $1,301.15.

Promise’s picks are 60-51 with a profit of $927.75.

Overall, our combined loss is $760.83.

UFC on ESPN 27 Bets

Odds are from betMGM.com as of 11 PM. ET on July 23 for Paul and Tom and Thursday July 22 at 10:30 PM for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • TJ Dillashaw at +160 to win $160
  • Darren Elkins at +130 to win $130
  • Maycee Barber at +125 to win $125
  • Adrian Yanez at -250 to win $40
  • Punahele Soriano at -110 to win $90.90

Paul’s picks:

  • TJ Dillashaw at +185 to win $185
  • Mickey Gall at +145 to win $145
  • Punahele Soriano at -115 to win $86.96
  • Randy Costa at +195 to win $195
  • Andre Ewell at +170 to win $170

Thomas’ picks:

  • TJ Dillashaw at +185 to win $185
  • Darren Elkins at +130 to win $130
  • Maycee Barber at +125 to win $125
  • Jordan Williams at -175 to win $57.14
  • Ian Heinisch at -155 to win $64.52

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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