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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN 25 bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN 25 went up yesterday.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.


The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person. Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we will give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last week, Ryan and I both picked badly for this one. Ryan had Alexis Davis, who should have won a decision but her opponent had the benefit of a questionable judging decision so he’s now 7-10 with a loss of $483.35 on the year. I picked Chase Hooper, who lost via decision as well, and I’m now 7-9 with a loss of $129.13

UFC 263 results

Ryan’s picks went 2-3 with a loss of $108.33. It was the sixth losing week of the last seven for Ryan.

My picks were also 2-3 with a loss of $116.18. It was my 3rd straight losing week after 3 straight profitable ones.

Promise went 4-1 for a profit of $309.44. He won the week so he’s won eleven weeks as compared to five for Ryan and four for me.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 45-47 on the year for a loss of $971.47.

My picks are 37-55 with a loss of $1,263.44.

Promise’s picks are 48-43 with a profit of $968.94.

Overall, our combined loss is $1,265.97.

UFC on ESPN 25 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 12:35 p.m. ET on June 12 for Paul and Tom and Thursday June 10 at 9:30 AM for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Bruno Silva at +125 to win $125
  • Matt Brown at +140 to win $140
  • Kanako Murata at +115 to win $115
  • Khaos Williams at -155 to win $64.52
  • Casey O’Neill at +130 to win $130

Paul’s picks:

  • Rick Glenn at +115 to win $115
  • Virnda Jandiroba at -145 to win $68.97
  • Matt Brown at +150 to win $150
  • Davey Grant at +170 to win $170
  • Korean Zombie at +110 to win $110

Thomas’ picks:

  • Serghei Spivac at -250 to win $40
  • Marlon Vera at -210 to win $47.62
  • Dhiego Lima at -200 to win $50
  • Korean Zombie at +110 to win $110
  • Josh Parisian at -155 to win $64.52

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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