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The Big Payback || UFC 263 bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC 263 went up yesterday.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network.


The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person. Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we will give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last week, both Ryan and I had successful picks. Ryan picked Santiago Ponzinibbio and his picks are now 7-9 with a $383.35 loss. I picked Ilir Latifi and my picks are now 7-8 with a very small loss of $29.13 on the year.

UFC on ESPN+ 47 results

Ryan’s picks went 1-3 with a loss of $190. It was the fifth losing week of the last six for Ryan. He had picked Tom Breese, whose bout was cancelled on fight day.

My picks were 2-3 with a loss of $45. It was my 2nd straight losing week after 3 straight profitable ones.

Promise went 3-1 for a profit of $162.15. He won the week so he’s won ten weeks as compared to five for Ryan and four for me.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 43-44 on the year for a loss of $863.14.

My picks are 35-52 with a loss of $1,147.27.

Promise’s picks are 44-42 with a profit of $659.50.

Overall, our combined loss is $1,350.91.

UFC 263 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 12:00 p.m. ET on June 12 for Paul and Tom and Thursday June 10 at 9:30 AM for Ryan. This explains the slight difference in the odds.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Deiveson Figueiredo at -230 to win $43.48
  • Brad Riddell at +125 to win $125
  • Eryk Anders at -150 to win $66.67
  • Hakeem Dawodu at +190 to win $190
  • Alexis Davis at +160 to win $160

Paul’s picks:

  • Brad Riddell at +125 to win $125
  • Alexis Davis at +170 to win $170
  • Matt Frevola at -220 to win $45.45
  • Chase Hooper at +100 to win $100
  • Carlos Felipe at -170 to win $58.82

Thomas’ picks:

  • Belal Muhammed at -225 to win $44.44
  • Brandon Moreno at +160 to win $160
  • Darren Stewart at +130 to win $130
  • Brad Riddell at +125 to win $125
  • Steven Peterson at -125 to win $80

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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