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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN 23 bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN 22 went up earlier this week.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler  and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network and What’s Your Finish? I’ll Move with Johnny Jeter on the Fight Game Media Network on Patreon.

The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person. Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we will give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last week, Ryan picked Weili Zhang, who lost, so his best bets are now 6–7 on the year for a loss of $370.27. My pick was Jessica Andrade, who also lost,  so I’m at 5–6 and a $156.06 loss.

UFC 261 results

Ryan’s picks went 2–3 with a loss of $130.48. That was just the 3rd losing week in the last seven for him.

My picks were 0.5 with a loss of $500. It was my fifth straight losing week and in three of those, I went 0–5 after never having done that in 15 months of doing these picks. Our best advice is to stay away from my picks.

Promise went 3–2 with a profit of $235. He won the week for the eighth time this year as compared to four for Ryan and two for me.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 35–30 on the year for a loss of $170.58.

My picks are 21–40 with a loss of $2,005.62.

Promise’s picks are 32–31 with a profit of $494.57.

Overall, our combined loss is $1,681.63.

UFC on ESPN 23 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 5:30 p.m. ET on April 30.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Jiri Prochzaka at -130 to win $76.92
  • Cub Swanson at +140 to win $140
  • Ion Cutelaba at -140 to win $71.43
  • Merab Dvalishvilli at -265 to win $37.74
  • TJ Brown at +130 to win $130

Paul’s picks:

  • Jiri Prochazaka at -130 to win $76.92
  • Dustin Jacoby at +125 to win $125
  • Luana Carolina at +210 to win $210
  • Randa Markos at +140 to win $140
  • Sam Hughes at +300 to win $300

Thomas’ picks:

  • Jiri Prochazka at -130 to win $76.92
  • Giga Chikadze at -170 to win $58.82
  • Randa Markos at +140 to win $140
  • Krzysztof Jotko at +210 to win $210
  • Merab Dvalishvilli at -265 to win $37.74


Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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