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The Big Payback || UFC 261 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the In the Clinch MMA podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN 22 went up earlier this week.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler  and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network and What’s Your Finish? I’ll Move with Johnny Jeter on the Fight Game Media Network on Patreon.

The rules are simple. We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly, and the number of events won per person. Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we will give our “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last week, Ryan picked Alexandr Romanov, who won, so his best bets are now 6-6 on the year for a loss of $270.27. My pick was Andrei Arlovski, so I’m also at .500 with a record of 5-5 and a $56.06 loss.

UFC on ESPN 22 results

Ryan’s picks went 4-0 with a profit of 276.81. He won the week and now has four wins to seven for Promise and two for me. He had also picked Jeremy Stephens but that fight was cancelled.

My picks were 1-3 with a loss of $216.67. It’s the fourth straight losing week for me and 5th of the last six.

Promise went 0-4 with a loss of $400. That’s the first winless week for him on the year and is the 4th week in the last six that he’s taken a loss.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 33-27 on the year for a loss of $40.10.

My picks are 21-35 with a loss of $1,505.62.

Promise’s picks are 29–29 with a profit of $259.57.

Overall, our combined loss is $1,286.15.

UFC 261 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 4:30 p.m. ET on April 9th.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Weili Zhang at -200 to win $50
  • Uriah Hall at +105 to win $105
  • Jimmy Crute at -210 to win $47.62
  • Randy Brown at -155 to win $64.52
  • Zhu Rong at -250 to win $40

Paul’s picks:

  • Alex Oliveira at +130 to win $130
  • Karl Roberson at +135 to win $135
  • Jessica Andrade at +350 to win $350
  • Tristan Connelly at +190 to win $190
  • Na Liang at +175 to win $175

Thomas’ picks:

  • Rose Namajunas at +160 to win $160
  • Anthony Smith at +170 to win $170
  • Uriah Hall at +105 to win $105
  • Alex Oliveira at +130 to win $130
  • Karl Roberson at +135 to win $135


Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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