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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN+ 45 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the “In The Clinch” MMA Podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN+ 45 went up earlier this week.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler  and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the Left My Wallet podcast on the F4W network and What’s Your Finish? I’ll Move with Johnny Jeter on the Fight Game Media Network on Patreon.


The rules are simple: We make five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly and the number of events won per person. Obviously, if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, odds reflect the amount of money won or lost on a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

Additionally, we will give our “best bet” exclusively on our In The Clinch podcast that drops on Tuesdays. Last week offered mixed results: Ryan’s pick, Islam Makhachev, dominated, as expected, so he’s now 3–2 on the year with his best bets, but has a loss of $113.31. My pick, Yadong Song, lost for the second week in a row, so I’m now 3–3 with a loss of $54.39.

UFC on 259 results

Ryan’s picks went 4–1 for a profit of $283.65.  He also won the week for the 2nd time this year as compared to one for me and 5 for Promise.

My picks went 1–4 with a loss of $215.

Promise went 2–3 for a loss  of $163.43, his worst week of the year, so his strategy of picking all favorites didn’t work out that well.

Year-to-date results

Ryan’s picks are 21–16 on the year with a $143.27 profit

My picks are 16–21 for a loss of $353.47.

Promise’s picks are 19–19 for a profit of $376.36

Overall, our combined profit is $266.18.

UFC 259 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 4:30 p.m. ET on March 12.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Misha Cirkunov at -135 to win $74.07
  • Dan Ige at -155 to win $64.52
  • Eryk Anders at +150 to win $150
  • Jinh Yu Frey at +155 to win $155
  • Jason Witt at -105 to win $95.24

Paul’s picks:

  • Dan Ige at -155 to win $64.52
  • Eryk Anders at +150 to win $150
  • Jinh Yu Frey at +155 to win $155
  • Cortney Casey at +125 to win $125
  • Belal Muhammad at +210 to win $210

Thomas’ picks:

  • Eryk Anders at +150 to win $150
  • Belal Muhammad at +210 to win $210
  • Gavin Tucker at +125 to win $125
  • Mattheus Nicolau at +110 to win $110
  • Misha Cirkunov at -135 to win $74.07

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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