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The Big Payback || UFC 259 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the “In the Clinch” MMA Podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon.

Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler  and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the “Left My Wallet” podcast on the F4W network and “What’s Your Finish, I’ll Move” with Johnny Jeter on the Fight Game Media patreon.

Ryan’s Guide to UFC 259 went up earlier this week.


The rules are simple. Each of us makes five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly and the number of events won per person. Obviously if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, the odds reflect the amount of money won or lost for a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

In addition, we will give a “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops every Tuesday. Last week was not a good week for us as both of our picks lost. I had Maxim Grishin and Ryan had Alexander Hernandez, who both lost via decision. On the year, Ryan’s best bets are 3-3 with a $139.63 loss and mine are 3-2 with a $45.61 profit.

UFC on ESPN+ 44 results

Ryan’s picks went 2-3 for a loss of $137.26.

My picks went 3-2 for a profit of $68.97. It was my second straight profitable week. 

Promise went 3-1 for a profit of $87.74 and picked up his fifth win of the year against 1 each for me and Ryan.

Year to date results

Ryan’s picks are  17-15 for a loss of $140.39.

My picks are 15-17 for a loss of $138.47.

Promise’s picks are 17-16 for a profit of $539.78

Overall, our combined profit is $260.92.

UFC 259 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 3:30 p.m. ET on March 5th.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Aljamain Sterling at -110 to win $90.91
  • Islam Makhachev at -385 to win $26.32
  • Thiago Santos at +130 to win $130
  • Kai-Kara France at -140 to win $71.43
  • Kennedy Nzchukwu at +195 to win $195

Paul’s picks:

  • Song Yadong at -160 to win $62.50
  • Thiago Santos at +130 to win $130
  • Rogerio Bontonin at +110 to win $110
  • Trevin Jones at +185 to win $185
  • Jake Matthews at +170 to win $170

Thomas’ picks:

  • Casey Kenney at -135 to win $74.07
  • Petr Yan at -120 to win $83.33
  • Askar Askarov at -135 to win $74.07
  • Aleksandr Rakic at -160 to win $62.50
  • Jordan Espinosa at -115 to win $86.96

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck, and enjoy the fights!

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