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The Big Payback || UFC on ESPN+ 43 Bets

big payback

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the “In the Clinch” MMA Podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler  and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the “Left My Wallet” podcast on the F4W network. 

Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN+ 43 went up earlier this week.


The rules are simple. Each of us makes five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly and the number of events won per person. Obviously if you’re betting, the only important thing is how much money you win and lose, so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, the odds reflect the amount of money won or lost for a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

In addition, we will give a “best bet” exclusively on our In the Clinch podcast that drops every Tuesday. Last week, mine was Miranda Maverick but her fight was cancelled and Ryan’s was Kamaru Usman, who won. Our best bets are now 4–3 on the year for a loss of $38.53.

UFC 258 results

Ryan’s picks went 2–1 for a loss of $4.14.

My picks went 1–2 for a loss of $162.96.

Promise went 3–1 with a $157.04 profit. He wins the day and has four to Ryan’s one and my zero.

Year to date results

Ryan’s picks are 12.11 for a loss of $104.14. (I mistakenly said he had a profit in last week’s column . . . he did not).

My picks are 8–15 for a loss of $791.95.

Promise’s picks are 13–11 for a profit of $527.05.

Overall, our combined loss is $369.14.

UFC on ESPN+ 43 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 3:30 p.m. eastern on February 19th.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Phil Hawes at -125 to win $80
  • Jared Gordon at +115 to win $115
  • Nate Landwehr at -120 to win $83.33
  • Casey O’Neill at -155 to win $64.52
  • Chas Skelly at +190 to win $190

Paul’s picks:

  • Derrick Lewis at +325 to win $325
  • Jared Gordon at +115 to win $115
  • John Castaneda at -125 to win $80
  • Casey O’Neill at -155 to win $64.52
  • Chas Skelly at +190 to win $190

Thomas’ picks:

  • Ketlen Vieira at -280 to win $35.71
  • Eddie Wineland at -105 to win $95.24
  • Derrick Lewis at +325 to win $325
  • Aleksi Oleinick at +160 to win $160
  • Nassourdine Imavov at -105 to win $95.24

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck and enjoy the fights!

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