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The Big Payback – UFC on ESPN+ 42 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the “In the Clinch” MMA Podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler  and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the “Left My Wallet” podcast on the F4W network. 

Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ESPN+ 42 was posted earlier this week.


The rules are simple. Each of us makes five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly and the number of events won per person. Obviously if you’re betting, the ONLY important thing is how much money you win and lose so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, the odds reflect the amount of money won or lost for a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

In addition, we will give a “best bet” exclusively on our “In the Clinch” podcast show that drops on Tuesdays. This week we had two picks each with shows on Wednesday and Saturday. For last week, both our best bets paid off for a profit of $119.43 if you bet $100 on each one. On Wednesday’s show, both our picks lost, so the loss on the year is now $80.57.

UFC 257 results

Ryan’s picks went 3.2 for a loss of $78.97.

My picks went 2-3 for a loss of $90.

Promise went 3-2 with a $420 profit. He wins the day and has now won 2, Ryan’s won 1 and I have zero wins.

Year to date results

Ryan’s picks are 8-7 for a profit of $19.82.

My picks are 6-9 for a loss of $251.21.

Promise’s picks are 7-8 for a profit of $365.

Overall, our combined profit is $133.61.

Our (Ryan and myself) best bets, given exclusively on the “In the Clinch” podcast, are now 3-2 for a profit of $24.43

UFC on ESPN+ 42 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 1 PM eastern on February 5th. We had a lot of similar picks here for whatever reason.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Alistair Overeem at +160 to win $160
  • Manel Kape at -110 to win $90.91
  • Beneil Dariush at -110 to win $90.91
  • Devonte Smith at -325 to win $30.77
  • Joselyne Edwards at +195 to win $195

Paul’s picks:

  • Timur Valiev at -450 to win $22.22
  • Manel Kape at -110 to win $90.91
  • Frankie Edgar at +300 to win $300
  • Joselyne Edwards at +195 to win $195
  • Jerome Rivera at +175 to win $175

Thomas’ picks:

  • Devonte Smith at -325 to win $30.77
  • Michael Johnson at -225 to win $44.44
  • Alexandre Pantoja at -120 to win $83.33
  • Beneil Dariush at -110 to win $90.91
  • Alistair Overeem at +160 to win $160

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck and enjoy the fights!

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