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The Big Payback – UFC 258 Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the “In the Clinch” MMA Podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler  and MMA enthusiast. He also hosts the “Left My Wallet” podcast on the F4W network. 

Ryan’s Guide to UFC 258 was posted earlier this week.


The rules are simple. Each of us makes five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly and the number of events won per person. Obviously if you’re betting, the ONLY important thing is how much money you win and lose so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, the odds reflect the amount of money won or lost for a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

In addition, we will give a “best bet” exclusively on our “In the Clinch” podcast show that drops on Tuesdays. Last week, mine was Macy Chiasson but her fight was cancelled and Ryan’s was Manel Kape, who lost. Our best bets are now 3-3 on the year for a loss of $75.57.

UFC on ESPN+ 42 results

Ryan’s picks went 2-3 for a loss of $178.32.

My picks went 1-4 for a loss of $377.78.

Promise went 3-2 with a $5.01 profit. He wins the day and has 3 wins to Ryan’s 1 and my zero.

Year to date results

Ryan’s picks are 10-10 for a profit of $158.50.

My picks are 7-13 for a loss of $628.99.

Promise’s picks are 10-10 for a profit of $370.01.

Overall, our combined profit is $417.48.

UFC 258 bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of 2:30 p.m. eastern on February 12th. Ryan and I are playing it a little safer this weekend to turn those losses around.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Kamaru Usman at -270 to win $37.04
  • Jim Miller at +205 to win $205
  • Miranda Maverick at -140 to win $71.43
  • Julian Marquez at -170 to win $58.82
  • Rodolfo Vieira at -400 to win 25

Paul’s picks:

  • Kamaru Usman at -270 to win $37.04
  • Jim Miller at +205 to win $205
  • Miranda Maverick at -140 to win $71.43
  • Phil Rowe at -105 to win $95.24
  • Andre Ewell at +115 to win $115

Thomas’ picks:

  • Kamaru Usman at -270 to win $37.04
  • Ian Heinisch at +180 to win $180
  • Maki Pitolo at +140 to win $140
  • Bobby Green at -265 to win $37.74
  • Alexa Grasso at -125 to win $80

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck and enjoy the fights!

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