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The Big Payback – UFC on ABC Bets

UFC bets

Ryan Frederick and I are staff writers at WrestlingObserver.com and regular contributors to this site. We also co-host the “In the Clinch” MMA Podcast on the Fight Game Media patreon. Thomas Matera is a former WWE superstar and current independent wrestler and MMA enthusiast. 

Ryan’s Guide to UFC on ABC 1 was posted earlier this week.


For those who followed this column last year, we’ve made a few changes to make things simpler. We will also be doing picks for every single UFC card.

The rules are simple. Each of us makes five picks for each card and a $100 bet on each pick. We will keep track of the profits and losses, the most fights picked correctly and the number of events won per person. Obviously if you’re betting, the ONLY important thing is how much money you win and lose so keep that in mind.

For betting novices, the odds reflect the amount of money won or lost for a $100 bet. If the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If they are positive, you win that amount if you bet $100.

UFC 256 results

Ryan’s picks went 2-4 for a loss of $104.50

My picks went 4-1-1 for a profit of $272.52.

Year-end results

Ryan’s picks were 34-19 for a profit of $180.51.

My picks were 21-29-1 for a profit of $138.29.

So, if you were betting along with us, you made some money. It actually came down to the very last fight, where I had picked Deiveson Figueiredo but because the fight ended up a draw, the bet was a push and Ryan won for the year.

UFC on ABC bets

Odds are from bovada.com as of noon Eastern on January 15.

Ryan’s picks:

  • Max Holloway at -165 to win $60.61
  • Carlos Condit at -170 to win $58.82
  • Punahele Soriano at +135 to win $135
  • Phil Hawes at -130 to win $76.92
  • Justin Tafa at +165 to win $165

Paul’s picks:

  • Justin Tafa at +165 to win $165
  • Phil Hawes at -130 to win $76.92
  • Max Holloway at -165 to win $60.61
  • Li Jingliang at +245 to win $245
  • Dusko Tudorovic at -165 to win $60.61

Thomas’ picks:

  • Calvin Kattar at +135 to win $135
  • Matt Brown at +145 to win $145
  • Vanessa Melo at +165 to win $165
  • Joaquin Buckley at -285 to win $35.09
  • Punahele Soriano at +135 to win $135

Follow Tommyself or Ryan on fight night to keep track of the results. Good luck and enjoy the fights!

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