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The Big Payback – UFC 248

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Paul Fontaine is back with his UFC 248 betting column.

Ryan Frederick and I are both staff writers at wrestlingobserver.com. Between the two of us, we handle all of the live UFC coverage on the site, with Ryan doing the majority and I also chip in with coverage of Bellator and some other noteworthy events that occur from time to time.

For each big UFC event in 2020, Ryan and I will make picks using odds at bestfightodds.com or bovada.com (which is what we’re using this week). With a starting bankroll of $1,000 each, our ground rules are that we will make at least 3 bets on each show. No more than 10% of our bankroll can be wagered on any fight and at least one pick must be an underdog.

For betting novices out there, fight odds are based on a $100 bet. So, if the odds are negative, you must bet that amount to win $100. If the odds are positive, a $100 bet will win you that much.

Here are the results after 2 events so far in 2020:

My picks are 4-4 with a profit of $58.04. For the last event, I went 2-2 with a profit of $15.97.

Ryan’s picks are 5-2 with a profit of $93.19. For the last event, he went 3-1 with a profit of $73.79

For Saturday’s UFC 248, here are our picks:


Joanna Jedrzejczyk $50 at +160 to win $80****
Mark O’Madsen $100 at -225 to win $44.44****
Saparbeg Safarov $20 at +450 to win $90
Deron Winn $75 at -145 to win $51.72


Giga Chikadze $75 at +145 to win $108.75
Sean O’Malley $82 at -270 to win $30.73
Mark O’Madsen $60 at -210 to win $39.05****
Israel Adesanya $55 at -285 to win $19.30
Neil Magny $30 at +145 to win $43.50
Weili Zhang $25 at -150 to win $16.67****

Bankroll totals will be updated before the next event that we do picks for, which will be UFC on ESPN 8: Ngannou vs Rozenstruik on March 28th.

****Note that while both of us did our picks at Bovada, Ryan did his on Thursday night while I did mine on Friday afternoon so the odds were different and these picks are based on the time we placed the bets.

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